Match Preview
This Liga Portugal fixture takes place at the Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, with Benfica hosting Casa Pia Lisbon on 9 November 2025. Benfica look to consolidate their position in the league as they face a Casa Pia Lisbon side aiming to improve their away form.
Prediction & Probability
Main pick: Benfica to win the match with a probability of 57.56% and odds of 1.1.
Form Guide (last 10)
| Team | Wins | Losses | Draws | Avg. Goals For | Avg. Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Casa Pia Lisbon | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
- Benfica has a strong home record with 7 wins in their last ten home matches.
- Casa Pia has struggled away with 5 defeats in their last ten matches on the road.
- Both teams feature in matches with over 2.5 goals 60% of the time, indicating attacking games.
Probable Lineups & Tactics
Benfica
Formation: 4-2-3-1; Goalkeeper: A. Trubin; Key attackers: D. Lukebakio, G. Prestianni, V. Pavlidis.
- The team is expected to dominate possession with a solid defensive midfield shielding the back four.
- No notable absences reported; full squad available.
Casa Pia Lisbon
Formation: 3-4-3; Goalkeeper: P. Sequeira; Key attackers: Cassiano, K. Nsona.
- Likely to play a counter-attacking style relying on wingbacks in midfield.
- Some players on the bench but no specific injury information provided.
Odds Snapshot
| Market | Benfica | Casa Pia Lisbon | Draw/Alt |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1.1 | – | – |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | – | – |
| Both Teams to Score | No | – | – |
Head-to-Head
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 01 November 2025 | Liga Portugal | Benfica 3-5 Casa Pia Lisbon |
Key Stats & Takeaways
- Benfica has a 57.56% probabilty to win this match.
- Benfica averages 2.5 goals per game while conceding only 0.6.
- Casa Pia Lisbon averages a higher 3.4 total goals per game but concedes 2.0 on average.
- Benfica’s home matches see more goals on average (3.1 per game) than Casa Pia’s away matches (3.3 per game).
- Benfica has the upper hand with 7 home wins in their last 10, while Casa Pia has struggled on the road with 5 losses.
- The previous meeting ended 5-3 in favour of Casa Pia, indicating an open game is possible.
- Expect under both teams to score, as the recommendation is no for both teams scoring.
Expert Verdict
- Main Bet: Benfica to win the match (odds 1.1)
- Secondary Option: Over 2.5 goals
- Alternative: Both teams not to score
- Correct Score Lean: 2-1 to Benfica
